0 NFL Week 11 Player Breakdown | DFS Karma

NFL Week 11 Player Breakdown

 

Derek Carr (at DET, $6,300) – I don’t love the high priced quarterbacks this week on DraftKings, which is why I’m starting with Carr, who is more of a mid-priced option. In his last four starts, Carr is averaging 27.15 fantasy points per game. He gets a great matchup this week against the Lions, who currently rank 30th in the NFL against opposing quarterbacks. On the season, they are allowing 260.1 yards per game to quarterbacks, and Carr will throw the ball at least 30 times with the chance to throw 40 or more passes. Carr is a low risk, high upside option for his price tonight, and he makes a great stack with either of his top two wide receivers.

 

Tony Romo (at MIA, $6,000) – Romo is expected to return this week, and if he does, he’s a great play at his current price tag. Before he was injured, he was over $7,000, which is why his current price is a bit confusing. He gets a matchup against the Dolphins, who have had an average offense against quarterbacks this season, and Romo is one of the best in the NFL. In two and a half games, he had thrown for 551 yards and 3 touchdowns, and this price is entirely too low. He can be used in all leagues, but his own percentage may also be extremely high. Regardless, he should have no problem hitting value tonight.

 

Matthew Stafford (vs OAK, $5,400) – I would have never thought I’d recommend Stafford this season, but those are the kings of things that happen when a team plays the Raiders defense. The Raiders are giving up 293.2 yards per game to quarterbacks this season, and they rank 27th in the NFL against opposing quarterbacks from a fantasy perspective. Stafford has been awful this season, but he has flashed tremendous upside, including a 37.9 fantasy point game against the Bears a few weeks ago. Stafford shouldn’t be used aware outside of large GPPs, but he is a cheap option with great upside.

 

Devonta Freeman (vs IND, $8,400) – Freeman has really slowed down recently, but he still is flashing a tremendous floor/ceiling combination for a running back. On the season, Freeman has a total of 1,141 yards and 11 touchdowns in 9 games. When he struggles on the ground, the Falcons make sure he touches the ball through the air. He has a tremendous nose for the end zone, and he gets a good matchup against the Colts, who have the 19th ranked defense in the NFL against running backs. Freeman is one of the safest players on the slate, and he can be used in all leagues.

 

DeMarco Murray (vs TB, $6,000) – The Eagles are getting Murray involved in the offense, as he has touched the ball 20 or more times in each of his last five games. The Bucs have played fairly well against the run this season, but they have yet to face a team like the Eagles. Murray is touching the ball in a variety of ways, which gives him great upside, and he has also found the end zone a couple times over the last few weeks. Murray has been a fairly safe option recently, and the Eagles should be somewhat running the ball late in the game, as they go for a win.

 

Charcandrick West (at SD, $4,500) – After a disappointing first game, people quickly wrote off West, but he has scored 23.9, 22.2, and 31.1 fantasy points in his last three games. In those three games, he has totaled 75 touches for 412 yards and 4 touchdowns. He’s a focal point of the Chiefs offense, and he torched a strong Broncos defense last season. This week, he gets a much easier matchup against the Chargers, who are the worst defense in the NFL against the running back. They are allowing 122.9 yards per game on the ground this season, and West may be the best running back for his price this week. He can be used in all leagues.

 

Mike Evans (at PHI, $7,300) – Evans is hitting his stride, as he has caught eight of more passes in three of his last four games. His price is on the rise, which is a bit concerning, but his production has also been great. He gets a great matchup against the Eagles, who currently rank 30th in the NFL against wide receivers. Evans has seen 53 targets over his last four games, which shows that he has loads of potential. Evans isn’t quite safe enough for cash games, but this game should be fast paced, and he should see a small uptick in opportunities this week, which makes him a great tournament option.

 

Eric Decker (at HOU, $5,800) – Decker is more than reasonably priced for a player who has scored in seven of his eight starts this season. He has also caught six passes in four straight games, and he has been one of the safest and most consistent players in the NFL this season. He gets a good matchup against the Texans this week, and they are a team that could keep the Jets throwing with a close game. Decker doesn’t have the upside of some of the other wide receivers around his price tag, which means he isn’t a great tournament play, but he is safe, and can be used in cash games this week.

 

Davante Adams (at MIN, $4,600) – Green Bay is essentially in a must win game this week, and they will likely come out firing. That means Rodgers will be throwing the ball, and Adams is finally finding his spot in the offense with 17 catches for 172 yards over his last two games. The Vikings have been a great defense against the pass, but Green Bay is somewhat matchup proof, and they will likely be scoring to make a statement this week. Adams will continue to be a focal point of the offense, and his price is extremely low. It’s likely only going to continue to shoot up, so take advantage of it while it’s this low.

 

Jordan Reed (at CAR, $4,900) – The Redskins will likely have a hard time scoring on a tough Panthers defense tonight, but they will also likely be throwing from the first to the fourth quarter. Reed is a huge part of the offense, as he has caught five touchdowns in his last three games, and Cousins is looking to him early and often in the red zone. The Panthers have a much better defense against wide receivers than they do tight ends, and the Redskins would be smart to exploit that. Reed is arguably their most talented offensive player, and he makes a great option this week.

 

Eric Ebron (vs OAK, $3,500) – While the Raiders have been playing much better against tight end, they haven’t faced anyone with the talent that Ebron possesses. In seven games this season, Ebron has recorded 27 catches for 320 yards and 3 touchdowns. Those numbers certainly don’t pop out, but he has great upside, especially in a matchup with one of the worst teams in the NFL against tight ends. If you’re looking to use Stafford, it may be a good idea to pair him with Ebron, as they both make great tournament options this week.

 

Philadelphia Eagles D/ST (vs TB, $3,100) – This may be a dream matchup for the Eagles, as they are facing an offense that loves giving away the football. On the season, the Eagles have 20 takeaways in 9 games, and they also have 3 touchdowns. The Eagles are an extremely high upside pick because of their special teams ability, and they are a decent bet for at least one turnover this week. They also should be able to slow down the Bucs offense, which gives them loads of upside. They are a fairly low risk, high upside play this week.   

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