0 Ben's NFL Week 2 Breakdown | DFS Karma

Ben's NFL Week 2 Breakdown

 

Note: Injury Concerns will be updated for each team on Saturdays when there's more clarity on each situation.

 

Houston Texans @ Cincinnati Bengals 
Projected Vegas Score: Bengals 22, Texans 16
Injury Concerns:

 

Quarterbacks- This game is going to be UGLY! Deshaun Watson replaced Tom Savage at half-time in week one and will draw the start here against Andy Dalton. Watson did not look ready for the NFL in the preseason and that showed in week one, though he still looked better than Savage. Dalton struggled in week one as well turning the ball over 5 times against the Ravens and is playing behind a bottom three offensive line. Neither of these guys are in consideration for DFS. 

 

Running Backs- The theme of this game is guys that aren't in play for DFS and that continues at the RB position. Joe Mixon (11 touches), Gio Bernard (8 touches) and Jeremy Hill (7 touches) lead a three-headed monster in the Bengals backfield and we just can't trust any of them with that many mouths to feed. Lamar Miller dominated the work for the Texans with rookie backup D'Onta Foreman only seeing two snaps. Head Coach Bill O'Brien came out after the game and said they were going to use Foreman more going forward but how couldn't they when he only saw two snaps? The Bengals will be able to stack the box against a rookie QB and a bad offensive line so we can throw Miller out of our pool as well. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- NUK! The legit lone bright spot for the Texans in week one was that Watson locked onto DeAndre Hopkins and peppered him. Nuk led the NFL in targets in week one (16) and somehow beat the blanket coverage by Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye for a 4 yard touchdown. This just shows how good the Jaguars secondary is going to be when you factor in that Hopkins managed just 62 yards on those 16 targets. This is promising going forward for Hopkins, especially in season-long, but I'm still not playing him in DFS. The Bengals should get explosive rookie wideout John Ross back tonight but we will have to wait and see how he adjusts to the NFL, leaving us with A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert as the main pass catchers. A.J. Green caught 5 of 10 targets for 74 yards and I don't see anyone that can cover him on the Houston side of the ball. 

 

Overall Outlook- If this game were on Sunday, I'd have interest in Green and Hopkins but really the Bengals defense shines as the top play here. When playing the Thursday-Monday DFS slate it's almost a give in to fade the Thursday game because of the inflated ownership those players will see. Bengals DST, Green and Hopkins could be mixed in for large field GPPs, but like i said i will be fading this game. 

 

Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

Projected Vegas Score: Buccanners 25, Bears 18

Injury Concerns:

 

Quarterbacks- We get our first look at James Winston who squares off against the Bucs former QB Mike Glennon. While the Bears secondary is not good, they have a decent track record of not getting shredded. However, Jameis Winston has a good track record against them in his career totaling 607 yards and 4 touchdowns across 2 games. Mike Glennon didn't look bad in the opener against the Falcons, but he's more of a game manager than anything else and really has nobody to throw to thus eliminating him from the DFS conversation. 

 

Running Backs- Ah, hate to say i told you so! If you watched our weekly #GoodKarma podcast you would know that i expressed my concerns with Jordan Howard this season and those concerns came to fruition in week one. Howard led the NFL in drops for running backs last season and the Bears brought in to great pass catching backs in the offseason, Benny Cunningham (free agency) and Tarik Cohen (draft). With those pass catching options i thought that Howard would not be a three down back and his value will be severely hurt in games the Bears are trailing. Tarik Cohen came out and put up a monster week one, 66 rushing yards on 5 attempts and 8 catches on 12 targets for 47 yards and a touchdown. I expect the Bears to be trailing once again, meaning this will be a Tarik Cohen week and keep in mind Benny Cunningham may miss this game with an injury thus increasing his workload even more. For the Bucs, Doug Martin is suspended leaving Jacquizz Rodgers and Charles Sims as the two backs. If you played DFS last season you probably remember Jacquizz Rodgers being the only running back on the roster for a few weeks in the middle of the season and racking up almost 60 carries in two weeks. That won't happen this year as Sims is there to steal some of the work and I think the Bears have a pretty good front seven. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- Like I stated above, the Bears secondary isn't good but they never seem to get abused. Mike Evans has struggled against the Bears in his career mainly because the one thing their secondary is good at is limiting long passes over the top. That hurts Mike Evans and Desean Jackson's DFS value a lot meaning that my favorite stack with Winston in GPPs is Cam Brate. Austin Hooper wrecked havoc on this Bears defense last week (though only two catches) and i expect Winston to look his way often. The Bears lost Kevin White yet again to injury as he was placed on IR and Kendall Wright lit the DFS world on fire with a massive chalk disappointment in week one, though his targets did increase when White exited with injury. In all honesty, Tarik Cohen is the Bears best receiver and he's the only Bear i am considering this week. Keep an eye on Tanner Gentry going forward who looked good in the preseason for the Bears and will see run now with White done. 

 

Overall Outlook- This isn't a really juicy DFS game but there are some plays. I like the Jameis-Brate stack in large field GPPs but i will not be overexposed to it. Tarik Cohen is going to be popular after the blowup in week one and while I don't think i will have much of him he is the clear play for the Bears in this game. The Bucs defense is also in a great spot as a home favorite against Glennon. 

 

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

Projected Vegas Score: Ravens 23.5, Browns 15.5

Injury Concerns:

Quarterbacks- All hail King Kizer! Not even being a homer, I was very impressed with Deshone Kizer in week one and it looks like the Browns might finally be onto something at the quarterback position. That being said he lines up in a really tough spot on the road against the Ravens who picked off Andy Dalton four times last Sunday. I think Kizer is potentially in consideration as a deep GPP play, naked because of his rushing upside. I'm not excited to use him as a huge road underdog against a good defense but his price is still enticing. The Ravens needed just 9 completions from Joe Flacco to beat the Bengals handily in week one, one of those completions being a 48 yard touchdown to Jeremy Maclin on a busted coverage. I think this will be a low scoring game, as divisional games typically are and I don't have much interest in many guys in this game. 

 

Running Backs- One thing of note for the Browns, that i mentioned in my Week 1 Takeaways article, is that Duke Johnson did not carry the ball one time in week one. He's almost exclusively playing out of the slot for the Browns and that hurts his fantasy value. Crowell dominated the snaps but draws another tough matchup this week, the time will come to unleash the Crow but it isn't this week. Danny Woodhead was getting absolutely fed on the opening drive for the Ravens before being carted off with an injury (shocker). Buck Allen will take over the pass catching role and he was really good fantasy wise in 2015, the last time we saw him get extended action. Terrance West still starts for the Ravens and he nabbed a touchdown week one. I like Buck Allen in PPR going forward this season but this is an underrated Browns defensive line and i don't want any of these guys in DFS outside of a GPP dart. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- Corey Coleman finally looked good in an NFL game and if you watched the preseason you would know that Kizer and him already have a good rapport. Jeremy Maclin didn't do much outside of that 48 yard touchdown and sticking with the theme of this game there are much better options elsewhere. 

 

Overall Outlook- I expect this to follow suite with *most* divisional games and be pretty low scoring. You could look at naked Kizer or Buck Allen as tourney darts but that doesn't really make it move for me. There are way better games on this slate. 

 

Buffalo Bills @ Carolina Panthers

Projected Vegas Score: Panthers 25.25, Bills 17.75

Injury Concerns:

Quarterbacks- Tyrod Taylor draws a tough matchup with a Panthers defense that looked scary good in week one. Tyrod basically is contingent on if he can run or not and i don't expect him to do much of that against this Panthers defense. Cam Newton still didn't look quite right against the 49ers but you can't ignore how good of a spot this is for him. Last year, I feel like i would be all over Cam in this spot. But, with the addition of Christian McCaffrey, the Panthers offense is changing and Cam only registered three rushing attempts in week one. I think that, like Tyrod, Cam's fantasy value is contingent on if he can get loose and run and I don't think he will be doing much of that this season which makes him a deep GPP play at best for me this week. 

 

Running Backs- If you're like me and rostered a ton of LeSean McCoy in week one you are still probably semi-tilted about him somehow managing not to score a touchdown. Shady is going to be the volume king this season and with the Bills running a similar offense as the 49ers, i expect Shady to find the same lanes that Carlos Hyde did last week. He has a low floor being a road underdog but he is in tournament consideration this week. Jonathan Stewart and dynamic rookie Christian McCaffrey are both in fantasy consideration this week. In week one, Stewart saw 18 carries to McCaffrey's 13, but CMC also saw seven targets. These RB's are game flow dependent as i like Stewart more if they are winning and I like CMC more if they are trailing. Either way they are both in consideration this week for DFS, with CMC getting the edge due to big play upside. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- Literally the only pass catcher in consideration for the Bills is tight end Charles Clay. He has the best rapport with Tyrod and found the end zone last week. He's not a sexy option but he is definitely in play for tournaments at a volatile position like Tight End. Speaking of being tilted...Kelvin Benjamin. I was so over-exposed to Benji in week one and watched him nab 1 of 5 targets for 25 yards. CMC is the best pass catching option for the Panthers right now and I'll be avoiding Benjamin this week. 

 

Overall Outlook- The top plays from this game are the running backs, Shady/CMC/Stewart. You can mix in Cam or Clay in large field GPPs but thats about it. This game is full of tournament plays as i wouldn't trust them in cash games. 

 

Arizona Cardinals @ Indianapolis Colts

Projected Vegas Score: Cardinals 25.75, Colts 18.25

Injury Concerns: 

Quarterbacks- Oh boy, here we go again. I was all over Carson Palmer in week one and even after a disappointing performance I'm going right back to the well in tournaments. Palmer's game could of been much better, he had a TD called back and Larry Fitzgerald dropped a touchdown...this spot is too good to ignore. The Colts ranked 31st in passing DVOA in week one and are still without Vontae Davis. It's Thursday and we still don't know who is starting at quarterback for the Colts...that should tell you all you really need to know. Jacoby Brissett (if he starts) will be better for the Colts but he hasn't been with the team for two weeks so what possibly could he do DFS wise to make us consider him against a Cardinals defense i expect to play better than they did last week. 

 

Running Backs- R.I.P David Johnson. Arguably the best running back in the NFL went down with a wrist injury in week one and is expected to be out until after Christmas. I have absolutely no interest in any of the Cardinals running backs, because they will 100% go by committee and I do not trust Bruce Arians whatsoever. We also aren't considering Frank Gore or Marlon Mack for the Colts, so let's just move along. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- The Colts pass catchers are pretty much out of the conversation until Andrew Luck is back or we see how the play with Brissett. I do have some interest in both Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown for the Cardinals this week. One of the craziest stats i read from week one came from Next Gen Stats and it's that of all the WRs who ran routes in week one Larry Fitzgerald was the 5th fastest wideout...Larry Fitzgerald is 34 years old. Both of these guys should have no issues with this terrible Colts secondary and this could be a spot for John Brown to get loose and rip off a long touchdown.

 

Overall Outlook- Palmer-Fitz-Brown stack them up in tournaments. People will 100% bail on this after a "let down" in week one when it actually was very close to blowing up. Pick one or use both with Palmer I love the Cardinals again this week, but not for cash games this time. 

 

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Projected Vegas Score: Titans 22.75, Jaguars 20.75

Injury Concerns: 

Quarterbacks- Marcus Mariota looked decent in week one, but his fantasy production was mainly buoyed by a rushing touchdown. I like Mariota as a fantasy player this year but i cannot recommend him against this Jaguars defense. I see some love around the industry for Blake Bortles in cash games due to his price and I am here to be your friend and talk you out of that. Blake Bortles is #bad at football and just lost his best pass catcher in Allen Robinson...what am i missing? 

 

Running Backs- This is very interesting when it comes to the Titans side of the ball. Last year under Mularkey, the Titans implemented an "exotic smashmouth" offense that saw them feed DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry. In week one Murray notched just 12 rushing attempts to Henry's 6 and it shows this is now a pass first team. This Jags defense is really, really good and I don't want any Titans in this matchup. Jacksonville couldn't of had a better week one, they want to run the ball and play defense and that's exactly what they did. They dominated the Texans physically on defense and rookie Leonard Fournette racked up 26 carries. He's the only guy i like for DFS in this game. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- The Titans have some good pass catching options, but Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye are a top three CB tandem in the NFL and I want no part of that for DFS. I'm not entirely sure who Bortles is going to throw to and I'll pass again there. 

 

Overall Outlook- I think the only DFS play in this game is Fournette and he's a tournament only play as a home underdog. 

 

Philadelphia Eagles @ Kansas City Chiefs

Projected Vegas Score: Chiefs 26.5, Eagles 21

Injury Concerns:

Quarterbacks- Finally, a juicy game! Alex Smith came out with a big-time statement game absolutely shredding the Patriots in prime time. He has a fantastic matchup this week at home as a big favorite over the Eagles who just lost their only good corner in Ronald Darby. Alex Smith isn't known for huge fantasy games but we cannot ignore this spot in GPPs against a horrid secondary at home. Carson Wentz also looked great in week one and looked like Brett Favre on a long TD to Nelson Agholor. Wentz is a good young QB, but this matchup as an underdog in Arrowhead is one to avoid.

 

Running Backs- We can skip over the Eagles backfield because much like the Bengals, there are just too many mouths to feed to consider them in DFS. For the Chiefs, it's dynamic rookie Kareem Hunt who is seemingly a household name after what he did to the Patriots. He has a bad matchup with a tough Eagles run defense, but he still can be used in DFS from a volume standpoint. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- Tyreek Hill got loose for a 75 yard TD in week one of a broken coverage by Devin McCourty and i honestly expect more of the same this week. Hill should see a lot of Jalen Mills on defense who gave up the 2nd most yards allowed to opposing wide receivers in week one (via Pro Football Focus). Travis Kelce has a tough matchup as the Eagles are good against the Tight end position thus leaving Hill Hunt and Smith as the plays from the Chiefs. For the Eagles, the man is clearly Zach Ertz and he now has a good matchup with the Chiefs after Eric Berry was lost for the season. I don't like Alshon in a week that he should see a lot of Marcus Peters, and I don't trust Agholor just yet.

 

Overall Outlook- The Chiefs are the guys you want here with Smith, Hunt and Hill all being good plays. Hill is one of my favorite plays of the week and Ertz makes sense in all formats as well. 

 

New England Patriots @ New Orleans Saints

Projected Vegas Score: Patriots 31, Saints 24.5

Injury Concerns:

Quarterbacks- The game that everyone will be taking about from a fantasy standpoint this week is the Patriots @ Saints. We get the "Angry Brady" narrative with the GOAT traveling to the Coors field of NFL DFS to take on a Saints defense that was OWNED by Sam Bradford on Monday night. It's clear Tom Brady is the top QB play in week two, and he will be popular. Drew Brees didn't look so hot in week one but he also has historically been much better at home and the Patriots defense looked equally as bad. 

 

Running Backs- The Patriots just have too many mouths to feed for me to get excited about them. Mike Gillislee is the short yardage/goal-line back with James White and Rex Burkhead also mixing in. I see some love for a few of these guys around the industry but I'm going to pass because with BB anyone could get the work. The Saints also have three RBs to feed in Adrian Peterson, Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. Too many options for me in this game and I will be attacking this game though the air. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- Here we go! The Patriots pass catchers all line up in fantastic spots this week as i pointed out above this Saints defense just got DESTROYED by Sam Bradford. Brandin Cooks will be taking a walk down #NarrativeStreet as he faces his former team and Chris Hogan is also in a great spot. Hogan saw a lot of Marcus Peters last Thursday night and it seemed like they game planned to stop him, so I'm not jumping off the ship yet. Who the %&#^ is going to cover Rob Gronkowski? Oh yeah, NOBODY! Gronk had a TD negated by penalty last week and I'm betting he finds the end zone least once on Sunday. The Saints pass catchers also are in a good spot, but i think the Pats secondary is better than they appeared in week one. Michael Thomas was a TD machine as a rookie and they also brought in speedster Ted Ginn who has been playing football for 1000 years. My favorite option on the Saints though is Tight End Coby Fleener. Fleecer hit pay dirt in week one and has excelled every game that Willie Snead has missed (Snead remains out due to suspension).

 

Overall Outlook- This game will be incredibly chalky, but for good reason. I LOVE the Patriots side of this and honestly i think the Saints could fly under the radar. Brees is great at home. Give me all of this game. 

 

Minnesota Vikings @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Projected Vegas Score: Steelers 25.25, Vikings 19.75

Injury Concerns:

Quarterbacks- Here we have two polar opposites as Sam Bradford looked great in week one and Ben Roethlisberger looked pretty bad. I don't really like either of these guys for DFS this week. Minnesota has a strong defense and Bradford was the beneficiary of the Saints defense, though I think Bradford is better than some.

 

Running Backs- Le'Veon Bell widely disappointed in week one while Dalvin Cook was the one of the stars of Monday Night Football. Cook has a tougher matchup this week but is the clear bell cow for Minny and I like him in GPPs because his price has yet to adjust to his role. If i figure out that Bell is going to be low owned i may go all in for GPPs, he was limited in week one and i don't expect him to to be here. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- The Vikings pass catchers have great matchups and they should be popular again. Stefan Diggs will see a lot of Joe Haden who basically graded out as PFF's worst week one CB, he has no chance of stopping Diggs. Adam Thielen will continue to rack up catches in the slot from Bradford and i LOVE both of those guys this week. Antonio Brown has a tough matchup with Xavier Rhodes, but it's AB and he's matchup proof. He's a tournament play this week along with Martavis Bryant who looked rusty in week one but will benefit from Rhodes being on Brown.

 

Overall Outlook- This game is actually pretty enticing fantasy-wise. Diggs/Thielen are playable in all formats for me and I will mix in Cook in tournaments. If Bell is going to be under-owned I love him in GPPs and you can toss in Brown/Bryant on some teams too. 

 

Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Chargers

Projected Vegas Score: Chargers 24.5, Dolphins 20.5

Injury Concerns:

Quarterbacks- This is another game I love this week and it could fly under the radar a bit due to NE/NO and GB/ATL. The Dolphins defense is #bad and I like Rivers as a GPP leverage play off Melvin Gordon. For the Dolphins, it;s our first look at Jay Cutler this season and he's going against an elite secondary...PASS. 

 

Running Backs- HAPPY MELVIN GORDON WEEK! This spot could not get any better for one of the best backs in the NFL and Gordon should absolutely smash in this spot. He is a bell cow who sees passing down work and the Chargers should be winning in this game. Jay Ajayi is a good NFL running back and has some elite potential when looking at advanced metrics...that being said this is a tough matchup. He's a home underdog playing behind terrible offensive line against an above average defense. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- Keenan Allen continued to be a target monster on Monday night reeling in 5 of 10 targets for 35 yards and a score against an elite Denver secondary. Tyrell Williams also caught five balls and both of them are in tournament consideration on Sunday. Jason Verrett and Casey Hayward make up one of the best CB tandems in the league for the Chargers and that pretty much eliminates any Miami pass catcher from my pool for this week. 

 

Overall Outlook- I love the Chargers side of this game and hate the Dolphins side. Melvin Gordon is my top overall play of the week and you can use the pass catchers in GPPs. 

 

New York Jets @ Oakland Raiders 

Projected Vegas Score: Raiders 28.5, Jets 15

Injury Concerns: 

Quarterbacks- Derek Carr has one of the top matchups on the slate against the horrible Jets while Josh McCown pretty much is not usable at all in fantasy sports. I'm worried that the Raiders are just going to smash the Jets so bad early on that it will hurt Carr's DFS value. But, he is in play for tournaments. 

 

Running Backs- I'm not afraid to admit when I'm wrong and I was 100% wrong about Marshawn Lynch. I didn't think there was anyway he would come back fine after being out of the league yet he came out and looked exceptional against the Titans. He actually ranked inside the top 5 by PFF in week one in terms of elusiveness and looked fresh. We can just skip the Jets offense as a whole. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- FINALLY! Amari Cooper saw 13 targets in week one with four of those coming in the red zone. If he consistently gets fed week in and week out the sky is the limit for him this year. Both him and Crabtree are in GPP consideration as a stack partner but I'm biased towards Cooper. Again, skipping the Jets. 

 

Overall Outlook- Marshawn Lynch is a great play this week as a huge home favorite and he has one of the top TD projections on the week. Carr-Cooper-Crabtree stack is in play for tournaments, but i am concerned with a blowout. 

 

Dallas Cowboys @ Denver Broncos 

Projected Vegas Score: Cowboys 21.75, Broncos 20.25

Injury Concerns: 

Quarterbacks- I'm not going to go too in depth here because both Dak Prescott is in a terrible matchup with the Broncos while Trevor Siemian is a game manager specialist and not a DFS option. 

 

Running Backs- Ezekiel Elliot looked as good as ever on Sunday night as he wore down the elite Giants defensive line rushing for 104 yards on 24 carries. He has another tough matchup on paper with the Broncos but Melvin Gordon fared well in this matchup lat week and i like Zeke in tournaments. For the Broncos, C.J. Anderson remains the starter but I don't have any DFS interest in him. 

 

Wide Receivers/ Tight Ends- Dez Bryant continues to struggle against elite cornerbacks and no other Dallas pass catcher has upside. The Broncos have two good WRs in Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas but i think their upside is capped...I'll look elsewhere in DFS.

 

Overall Outlook- Zeke Elliot as a GPP play is the only thing that intrigues me in this game. 

 

Washington Redskins @ Los Angeles Rams

Projected Vegas Score: Rams 24.5, Redskins 21.5

Injury Concerns:

Quarterbacks- This is kind of just a filler game for me but it does feature one of my favorite plays on the board. Kirk Cousins continued to miss Sean McVay and Desean Jackson as this offense just isn't clicking yet. Jared Goff looked promising in week one albeit agains the Colts. I think you can look at Goff in large field GPPs but I'm off Cousins for the time being. 

 

Running Backs- I think it's time we start to ignore Todd Gurley. He racked up just 40 yards on 19 carries in week one against the freaking COLTS! The one thing that will save Gurley fantasy-wise is he has no competition and will see passing down work. He caught 5 balls for 56 yards which really saved his day. I don't like anyone in the Redskins backfield as there is no clear cut guy between Rob Kelley and Chris Thompson stealing passing down work. 

 

Wide Receivers/ Tight Ends- Coooooooop! I've been all over Cooper Kupp since the preseason and he is about to make a name for himself over the coming weeks. The Rams have a really tough schedule in terms of cornerbacks they will see and Sammy Watkins figures to draw their attention week in and week out. Kupp out-targeted Watkins by 1 in week one and scored a touchdown. Nelson Agholor owned the Redskins in the slot and the stars are aligning for Kupp in this matchup. I do also have interest in Terrelle Pryor for the Redskins, Pryor caught just 6 of 11 targets in week one but dropped a would-be bomb and Cousins looks his way often. 

Overall Outlook- Cooper Kupp is an elite play in all formats for me this week and i have no issues mixing Pryor in for tournaments. People seem to continue to sleep on Pryor as a WR. 

 

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks

Projected Vegas Score: Seahawks 28, 49ers 14

Injury Concerns:

Quarterbacks- This is a great spot for Russell Wilson and I fully expect it to fly under that radar on Sunday. Russ disappointed many in week one, but he has been significantly better at home over the past few years and the Packers have a strong history of limiting him. The 49ers defense ranked 27th in pass DVOA in week one and this is a great tournament spot to use Russ at low ownership. Brian Hoyer struggled in week one and I think that continues on the road in Seattle against an elite defense. 

 

Running Backs- The Seahawks fall under the too many guys column, especially with Rawls likely to return so I will be attacking San Fran through the air. Carlos Hyde was an absolute bell cow in week one, but he couldn't draw a worse matchup than Seattle on the road. 

 

Wide Receivers/ Tight Ends- Doug Baldwin caught all four targets for 63 yards and also has positive home splits along with Russ Wilson. Paul Richardson was the clear number two guy for Seattle in week one and he's in play as a GPP dart. I'm not targeting the Seattle secondary with the 49ers pass catchers.

 

Overall Outlook- Seattle is going to go crazy underowned in this spot after last week and I love a Russ-Baldwin stack for tourneys. 

 

Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons

Projected Vegas Score: Falcons 28.25, Packers 25.25

Injury Concerns:

Quarterbacks- Finally we cap off Sunday with an absolute firecracker. Aaron Rodgers heads to Atlanta where I'm sure he has revenge on his mind after getting embarrassed in the NFC Championship Game last season. The Falcons have a strong secondary, but it's Rodgers and he's in play for tournaments with this big Vegas total. Matt Ryan is one of the top spots of the entire week against a Packers secondary that's an absolute joke. Both of these guys are elite plays this week and this game will be popular. 

 

Running Backs- Ty freaking Montgomery! TyMont came out and played almost every snap for the Packers and he cemented his role in one of the top offenses in the NFL. The Falcons got gashed by a pass catching back in Tarik Cohen last week and I expect Montgomery to put up a HUGE line. He's my favorite play on the entire slate outside of Melvin Gordon. Some of us were expecting the Falcons to come out and feed Devonta Freeman but he actually only out-carried Tevin Coleman 12-8. I like the spot for these guys but i don't want to guess who scores and there are better RB plays this week. 

 

Wide Receivers/ Tight Ends- If there was ever a Julio Jones spot...it's here. Julio disappointed a bit in week one but now he gets to come home and face one of the worst secondaries in the NFL. Julio was notorious for bouncing back after down weeks last season and I am banking on that here as well. I like Austin Hooper but I'm also tempering my expectations. While he had a huge DFS score last week he only caught two passes and you can't count on that again on just two catches. The Packers have a trio of pass catchers in the mix, Jordy Nelson/Randall Cobb/ Davante Adams. I'm bullish on Randall Cobb this season in comparison to Adams because Adams got lucky with touchdowns last season and Cobb was hurt. Jordy and Rodgers seem to always hook up so i would rank them Nelson, Cobb then Adams this week. 

 

Overall Outlook- This is tied with the Patriots game as the top game on the slate. Ryan, Julio and Montgomery are three of my favorite plays of the week but i also love Rodgers + Cobb or Nelson in GPPs. Stack it up. 

 

 Detroit Lions @ New York Giants

Projected Vegas Score: Giants 22.75, Lions 19.25

Injury Concerns: Odell Beckham WILL PLAY

Quarterbacks- If you played the primetime slate you most likely had Rodgers and Ryan who I much prefer to these two options. Eli gets a bump with Odell playing but I don't think there's anyway he is actually 100% so how much does it help him? Janoris Jenkins isn't 100% either and may not even play so I will lean Stafford over Eli if I was only playing one lineup.

 

Running Backs- The Giants situation at RB is a mess with Perkins/Vereen/Darkwa and none of them can run the ball anyways behind that terrible line. For the Giants it's Ameer Abdullah and Theo Riddick, I think I would lean Abdullah because he has looked good all year so far and yet always is lesser owned than Riddick.

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends- Like I said above, there is no way Odell is 100% so you are deciding is 75% of Odell is better than the other guys. If I had one lineup I will fade, but if I'm running multiple lineups I will make sure to get exposure. I LOVE Golden Tate in this game, he should see a ton of work from Stafford and I also like Kenny Golladay lining up against Eli Apple. If you have the space, Eric Ebron makes sense but I prefer Kenny and Tate.

 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

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Dion Boykin

September 18, 2017

Are you still doing the Monday night game?

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