0 Bobby's Week 11 NFL GPP Breakdown FD & DK | DFS Karma

Bobby's Week 11 NFL GPP Breakdown FD & DK

  

 

*THIS ARTICLE IS DESIGNED SPECIFICALLY FOR GPP ENTRY CONTESTS ON DRAFTKINGS.  MY GOAL WHEN SHARING MY THOUGHTS/INFORMATION WITH YOU ALL IS THAT THESE PLAYERS COME IN UNDER 10-15% OWNED IN GPP’S.  TO FIND PLAYERS THIS LOW OWNED, WE ARE TAKING ON A “BUST RISK”.  THIS IS THE TYPE OF RISK AS A GPP PLAYER YOU NEED TO TAKE DOWN A TOURNAMENT. * 

  

  

  

QUARTERBACK : 

 
Tier 1:  Drew Brees ($6,800 DK / $8,100 FD)-  With a lot of people paying up for Alex Smith against the Giants this week we may see Brees go overlooked at home.  Brees has seen a lack of upside of late due to the amazing play of Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram.  The Saints are implied for 29.25 points and we know what happens when Drew Brees plays at home.  If I'm paying up at QB this week I'm avoiding the chalk of Alex Smith, by being over-exposed to Drew Brees after many will suspect his upside.  Kirk Cousins can sling and we could see this game turn into a shootout as the turf field benefits the offensive players on these two teams.   

Stat Prediction: 350/3/0 

 
Tier 2Blake Bortles ($5,200 DK/ $7,500 FD)  -  A week after taking a break off from playing Bortles I'm right back to the well.  I thought with Fournette back last week we'd see Bortles fall back into his conservative role in this offense. WRONG! Bortles passed for over 50 attempts and at one point in the game attempted 10+ passes in a row on one drive.  The Jaguars have obviously gained some trust in Bortles from his recent play and has a great matchup this week against the Browns.  The Browns are a funnel defense who actually have a stout run D.  If Fournette (hobbled) can't get it going again this week, look for the Jaguars to lean on Bortles again. 

Stat Prediction: 310/2/1 

 

PERSONAL FAVORITE PLAY (FP/$):  Blake Bortles 

  

RUNNING BACK : 

  

Tier 1LeSean McCoy ($7,800 DK/$8,000 FD)-  There are a lot of top-tier backs one can pay up for this week.  The thing is I think everyone is over-looking not only the lowest owned (outside of Fournette who is just a bad play) but also the player with the highest upside.  Almost everyone is paying for Kareem Hunt which allows us to make the perfect pivot for a player who IMO has more upside than Hunt. Hunt cannot seem to get it going since he exploded onto the scene and albeit a great spot, I just can't justify the ownership. Go McCoy in GPP this week. 

Stat Prediction: Rushing- 20/110/1 Receiving- 4/45/0 
 

Tier 2: Jerek McKinnon ($5,700 DK / $6,400 FD)-  McKinnon goes under-owned every week due to the time split with Latavius Murray.  We've learned that it is not unlikely for a running back in a time split to have major upside (I.E. Kamara/Ingram).  McKinnon is the more talented back here and sees major usage in the passing game which obviously raises his floor and upside for .5 PPR and full PPR sites (Fanduel/Draftkings).  McKinnon didn't see his normal workload last week but that should just suppress his ownership for the game log watchers.  Look out for McKinnon to have a big game this week against an average Rams run defense (15th rush DVOA). 

Stat Prediction: Rushing - 15/85/1 Receiving- 5/50/1 

 
 
Tier 3Dion Lewis ($4,200 DK / $5,700 FD)-  Lewis may not be the best play in the world this week but I think he is a sharp one.  Lewis offers a lot more value on Fanduel due to his lack of passing game involvement but offers tons of value on Draftkings at only $4,200.  This is the lead back getting 15+ carries per week on the most potent offense in the NFL.  The Patriots are favored by 8 points in this game and implied over 31 points this week.  Lots of fantasy goodness is going to come from this game and don't be surprised to see Lewis fall in the end zone a couple times this week! 

Stat Prediction: Rushing- 15/80/2 Receiving- 1/10/0 

 

  

PERSONAL FAVORITE PLAY (PT/$):    

  

WIDE RECEIVER: 

  

Tier 1AJ Green ($7,000 DK / $7,800 FD-  Yes, this is a very tough spot for the Bengals offense. But how many times have we seen the Bengal's implied for 16-19 points and AJ Green have a monster day? Too many times.  Green is this entire offense and is the closest thing to matchup proof as a WR comes.  With Kroft a popular option this week I think it will be a smart GPP move to go Green and leverage the field.  Green is going to be 2% owned with the upside to outscore any WR on this slate. 

Stat Prediction: 8/120/1 

  

TIER 2:  Amari Cooper ($6,000 DK / $7,300 FD) - Cooper comes in at an insanely cheap price on Draftkings in a game which is slated to be a shoot-out.  Cooper has massive upside and many are down on him after having a rough season (with the exception of one blow-up game).  Cooper is poised for a huge game against a Patriots D (which has played better of late) had been getting torched earlier on in the season.  This game could easily turn into a shootout in which Cooper would have a huge game.  I'm taking the discount here and locking Cooper into a ton of Draftkings lineups this week. 

Stat Prediction: 8/110/1 

 

  

Tier 3: DeSean Jackson ($5,100 DK / $6,400 FD) - Jackson got some chemistry in with Evans out last week and we might see Fitzpatrick go back to his new favorite target this week against the Dolphins.  Although towards the end of his career, Jackson still possesses some major upside and provides plenty of value at his suppressed price point.  Opposing one of the worst ranked CB's in the NFL according to PFF, Xavien Howard, I expect Jackson to have a field day. 

Stat Prediction: 7/105/1 

   

PERSONAL FAVORITE PLAY (PT/$):   Amari Cooper 

 

 

TIGHT END: 

  

Top Play: Rob Gronkowski ($7,200 DK / $8,200 FD) - This is a spot where if I'm not overexposed to Gronk I know I'll be kicking myself come Sunday night.  This could be an absolute explosion out of Gronk in a game where his team is implied over 30 points.  Oakland gets absolutely destroyed by tight end's and us DFS players have known this is a trend that will continue.  Oakland's linebacker/safeties are the worst in the NFL and will get ran all over by Gronk this week.  Please just have some exposure!!! 

Stat Prediction: 8/120/2 

   

 

  

Now let's get into some strategy for Week 7 

If you've been using my article you've had massive success this NFL season and that's only going to continue as I spend 15+ hours per week on finding the best GPP plays and putting them all into this article for you.  Along with my article make sure to be utilizing all the content/tools/articles/livestreams/lineups we provide at DFS Karma.  Trust what we've done, trust what we're doing, and follow us to the money this week.   

I will be giving out more of my low-owned GPP's plays throughout the weekend between our Livestream tomorrow night and a periscope Q&A sometime either Saturday night or Sunday morning! Make sure to stay tuned and thanks for reading! I better see ALLLL the screenshots Monday morning with all of you RAKING in the cash! LET'S GOOOOO! #MONEYTEAM  

  

  

WRITTEN BY: @ DF_ADVANTAGE - Follow me on Twitter :) 

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

DISCLAIMER: This report has been prepared and issued by AcKarmaSports LLC for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. AcKarmaSports LLC is not responsible for any losses sustained. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department at AcKarmaSports LLC at the time of publication. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Leave a comment

Please note, comments must be approved before they are published

Just added to your cart:
Qty:
Total:
Subtotal:
Excl. postage 
My Bag
Just added to your wishlist:
Excl. postage 
My Wishlist