*THIS ARTICLE IS DESIGNED SPECIFICALLY FOR GPP ENTRY CONTESTS ON DRAFTKINGS. MY GOAL WHEN SHARING MY THOUGHTS/INFORMATION WITH YOU ALL IS THAT THESE PLAYERS COME IN UNDER 10-15% OWNED IN GPP’S. TO FIND PLAYERS THIS LOW OWNED, WE ARE TAKING ON A “BUST RISK”. THIS IS THE TYPE OF RISK AS A GPP PLAYER YOU NEED TO TAKE DOWN A TOURNAMENT. *
Tier 1: Russell Wilson ($7,300 DK / $8,500 FD)- Wilson has been absolutely destroying the NFL of late and I feel like it's gone a tad under the radar before his big 400+ passing yard 4 TD week (I was on him last week against the Texans if you go back and read that article). This week he's up against the Redskins who rank 16th in passing DVOA and are rolling out a hobbled Josh Norman, one that I believe to be playing with broken ribs. I also think this is a week that a running back for Seattle gets going which in turn will help out Wilson in the passing game. Wilson also has the ability to do damage running with the ball which he hasn't been doing a lot of late.
Stat Prediction: 320/3/0
Tier 2: Carson Wentz ($6,100 DK, 8,000 FD) - Wentz is actually a much better play on Draftkings with this price discrepancy but I love the spot, being able to get him at low ownership. Yes, we know the Broncos defense is good but this offensive line for the Eagles could be the best in the league behind the Cowboys right now... and it's pretty close. It also helps the Broncos will be flying across country to play the Eagles at their home stadium where Wentz has thrived. He should be 2% owned and I don't hate the idea of rostering Alshon Jeffery to pair with him.
Stat Prediction: 320/2/0
Tier 3: Blake Bortles (DK) / Jacoby Brissett (FD) ($4,700 DK, 6,600 FD) - Bortles has been playing extremely well which is going to lead for more pass opportunities as he proved he still has that first year upside the Jaguars got from him. With Fournette back, Bortles ownership is going to drop by 80% while he's been fairly popular while Fournette has been out. He gets to play at home this weekend which I think boosts his upside as well. On Fanduel I think you have to go Jacoby Brissett if you're dumpster diving. Look what Russell Wilson did to this team last week. Brissett has a similar play style although being much bigger than Wilson. I think this increases his rushing TD equity and we see a huge game out of Brissett this week.
Stat Prediction: 275/2/1 50/1
PERSONAL FAVORITE PLAY (FP/$): Russell Wilson
RUNNING BACK :
Tier 1: Kareem Hunt ($8,600 DK/$9,000 FD)- I feel like everyone has forgot about Kareem Hunt after a couple mediocre games. Everyone's going to be on Zeke in this one (for good reason – he's in a great spot) which makes Hunt a perfect pivot for your GPP's. He has just as much upside if not more (PPR sites) as Zeke and is going against a defense That is just as bad as the KC run defense (30th in run DVOA). Load up on Hunt this week to hedge against all the Zeke owners.
Stat Prediction: Rushing- 25/150/1 Receiving- 6/40/0
Tier 2: Christian McCaffrey ($6,500 DK / $6,100 FD)- I could list McCaffrey as a WR, as his role in this Panthers offense is nothing short of just that. He catches more passes than anyone on the team and still has that big play upside we saw at Stanford. The Panthers are projected to be trailing in this game and I expect McCaffrey to be the focal point of this Carolina offense as Cam Newton cannot throw the ball farther than 10 yards without it getting intercepted. Look for McCaffrey to provide a extremely high floor with plenty of upside in PPR formats. The Falcons cannot cover backs in the passing game and I am expecting a huge game for McCaffery.
Stat Prediction: Rushing - 8/45/0 Receiving- 8/90/2
Tier 3: Eddie Lacy ($3,200 DK / $5,300 FD)- This is a real punt. At $3,200 on Draftkings Lacy allows you to do a lot of things with your team. Pete Carroll said he's looking to stick with one back this week and I think that's going to be Lacy. He has an awesome chance to punch in a touchdown and doesn't need to do much to pay off his Draftkings price tag. Mix him in to some of your lineups!
Stat Prediction: Rushing- 16/70/1 Receiving- 1/8/0
PERSONAL FAVORITE PLAY (PT/$): Christian McCaffery
Tier 1: Doug Baldwin ($6,900 DK / $7,900 FD) - You know how much I love Wilson this week so you know I have to pair him with his best WR who's been quieter during Wilson's passing explosion. I think people take note of this which keeps Baldwin's ownership suppressed this week. Baldwin won't be matched up with Josh Norman for a lot of the game which bodes perfectly for the Seahawks game plan. I think Jimmy Graham and Baldwin will play major roles this week over the middle of the field.
Stat Prediction: 8/120/1
TIER 2: Alshon Jeffery ($6,700 DK / $5,300 FD) - Alshon Jeffery is a top 10 receiver this year in aDOT and air yards but has not seen major production on the Eagles. I think this is the breakout week for Alshon on his newest team and I expect big things from him going forward. People have almost seemed to forget about him and what kind of player he is. I have not forgot about his incredible years on the Bears. I love Wentz and what he bring with this offensive line. I think they'll need to get Alshon involved this week against a tough Broncos defense, where Alshon can use his size to make plays. Look for Alshon to be peppered with targets this week, a lot more than he has in weeks past.
Stat Prediction: 8/110/1
Tier 3: Sammy Watkins ($4,200 DK / $6,000 FD) - With the Giants top cornerback (Janoris Jenkins) out this week no one is going to be shadowing Watkins and I think this is a week where he explodes. He's voiced his concern for more touches and I think this is a perfect oppurtunity against a team that gives up big plays without their star cornerback. Watkins will torch Eli Apple all game and this could be another 100+ yard 2 td game for Watkins. He's so cheap and doesn't kill your lineup if he doesn't go off. I'm all in however.
Stat Prediction: 5/105/1
PERSONAL FAVORITE PLAY (PT/$): Sammy Watkins
Top Play: Jack Doyle ($4,800 DK / $5,500 FD) - Brisset loves to check down to Doyle and with everyone on Vernon Davis this week you're going to need a pivot in GPP. Doyle is a safe option who also brings a lot of upside as we saw last week where he put up 30 Draftkings points. The Houston team gets killed over the middle of the field and I expect another 8-10 target game for Captain America.
Stat Prediction: 6/60/1
GAME THEORY ANGLE FOR THIS WEEK:
Now let's get into some strategy for Week 7.
If you've been using my article you've had massive success this NFL season and that's only going to continue as I spend 15+ hours per week on finding the best GPP plays and putting them all into this article for you. Along with my article make sure to be utilizing all the content/tools/articles/livestreams/lineups we provide at DFS Karma. Trust what we've done, trust what we're doing, and follow us to the money this week.
Another part of NFL DFS that a lot of players are slow to implement is game stacking. There is a MAJOR correlation between being in the top 1% of scoring with your lineup and implementing a game stacks. I'll give away my favorite game stack of the week right here. Wilson/Baldwin/Lacy and then coming back with Vernon Davis. Lacy is going to be so low owned (better play on Draftkings) and I really believe he gets in the end zone this week and sees 12-15 carries minimum.
I will be giving out more of my low-owned GPP's plays throughout the weekend between our Livestream tomorrow night and a periscope Q&A sometime either Saturday night or Sunday morning! Make sure to stay tuned and thanks for reading! I better see ALLLL the screenshots Monday morning with all of you RAKING in the cash! LET'S GOOOOO! #MONEYTEAM
WRITTEN BY: @ DF_ADVANTAGE - Follow me on Twitter :)
DISCLAIMER: This report has been prepared and issued by AcKarmaSports LLC for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. AcKarmaSports LLC is not responsible for any losses sustained. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department at AcKarmaSports LLC at the time of publication.