Matchups to Attack
Demaryius Thomas vs Xavien Howard
Demaryius Thomas has had an inconsistent season, which can likely be credited to the quarterback play of the Denver Broncos. He has still been able to average a 5.3/59.2/0.3 line on 8.7 targets per game this season. He has been heating up recently, though, scoring a touchdown in three of his last four games. Over that span, he is averaging 15.3 DK points per game, struggling only last week against the Oakland Raiders.
Thomas has played 51% of his snaps as the Broncos left outside wide receiver this season. He will spend the majority of this game against Xavien Howard, who has played 84% of his snaps at right outside cornerback. Howard has struggled throughout the season, grading out as Pro Football Focus’ second worst cornerback in the NFL. He is allowing a 63% catch rate, while being targeted on 16% of his routes covered. Thomas has been one of the most targeted wide receivers in the NFL this season, making him an elite option in a plus matchup.
Davante Adams vs Robert McClain
The injury to Aaron Rodgers had the majority of fans believing that was the end to the value of Green Bay receivers. That was not the case, though, as Davante Adams and Brett Hundley have displayed a great connection over the last four weeks of action. Over that span, Adams is averaging 6.3 receptions for 87.8 yards and 0.5 touchdowns on 9.3 targets per game. It is clear that Adams has taken over as the featured receiver in Green Bay after the injury to Rodgers.
Adams moves across the formation for Green Bay, but he has played the majority of his snaps (44%) as the left outside receiver. He gets a matchup against Robert McClain, who has played the majority of his snaps as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers slot corner, but has recently moved to the right cornerback position. On the season, McClain is allowing a ridiculous 79% catch rate, while being targeted on 16% of his routes covered. He has graded out as the seventh worst cornerback in the NFL this season, per Pro Football Focus. When Adams is not being covered by McClain, he will likely be guarded by Brent Grimes, who has been better than McClain, but has been a below average cornerback this season. Adams will get a plus matchup regardless of where he lines up, making him a great option this weekend.
Mike Evans vs Kevin King
Mike Evans has not been enjoying the dominant season many people were expecting, but he has flashed tremendous upside. Through 10 games, Evans is averaging a 5.1/70.2/0.4 line on 9.6 targets per game. He has seen double digit targets in six of his 10 games this season, as well. Three of Evans’ four touchdowns have come from Jameis Winston this season, and he is expected to return this week. Winston seemingly has no issues throwing 50-50 balls to Evans, which only adds to his potential upside this week.
Evans is another player that tends to move around the formation. He has played 44% of his snaps as the left outside receiver, though. He gets a matchup against Kevin King, who has played 84% of his snaps as the right outside cornerback for the Green Bay Packers. King has shown flashes as a rookie, but he has also struggled mightily. He has graded out as a bottom-10 cornerback in the NFL, according to Pro Football Focus, allowing a 59% catch rate, while being targeted on 20% of his routes. Evans is not the most efficient receiver in the NFL, but he is a player that can take advantage of inexperienced cornerbacks. He is an elite option this week.
Matchups to Avoid
Corey Coleman vs Casey Hayward
Corey Coleman has had a wild season thus far. He was expected to be a big part of the offense before being injured in the second week of the season. He recently returned, averaging a 4.5/72/0 line on 9.5 targets per game over the last two weeks. While that has shown that Coleman is a big part of the offense, Josh Gordon is expected to return to action this week. Cleveland has been talking him up since his reinstatement, suggesting that he will immediately take over as the Browns top receiving threat. It is a situation that will be murky until the game is played out.
Coleman has played the majority of his snaps (92%) as an outside receiver, but that will not matter this week. He is expected to be shadowed by Casey Hayward, although it is not out of the realm of possibilities that Hayward ends up shadowing Gordon. With that being said, Hayward has faced elite competition on a weekly basis this season, and he has still found success. He has graded out as the best cornerback in the NFL, per Pro Football Focus. He is allowing only a 45% catch rate, while being targeted on only 14% of his routes covered. There is never any reason to target a receiver that Hayward is expected to shadow.
Devin Funchess vs Marshon Lattimore
Devin Funchess has been enjoying a breakout campaign, averaging 4.6 receptions, 58.5 yards, and 0.5 touchdowns on 7.6 targets per game. He has scored at least 20 DK points in each of his last two games, as well. He is the clear-cut focal point of the offense, as he saw 12 targets in his last game. He has also been a major part of their red zone offense with Kelvin Benjamin now playing in Buffalo.
Funchess has played the majority of his snaps (42%) as the Panthers right outside wide receiver. He is expected to be guarded by a returning Marshon Lattimore, although it is not clear if Lattimore will be shadowing him or not. Lattimore is only a rookie, but he has been an elite defender. He has graded out as Pro Football Focus’ third best cornerback in the NFL. He has only been targeted on 13% of his routes covered, allowing a 50% catch rate. Funchess does not receive as many targets as some of the other receivers around his price range, and he will struggle with efficiency against one of the league’s top young cornerbacks.
Doug Baldwin vs Patrick Robinson
Doug Baldwin has been cooling down a bit recently, but he has still been enjoying a great season. Through 11 games, he has seen 88 targets, turning those into 58 receptions for 698 yards and four touchdowns. He is the focal point of the Seahawks offense, leading the team in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. He is also third on the team in receiving touchdowns. Baldwin has been consistent this season, scoring at least 10 DK points in eight of his 11 games.
Baldwin is the primary slot receiver for the Seahawks, playing 76% of his snaps out of the slot. He will matchup against Patrick Robinson, who has played 75% of his snaps as the Eagles slot cornerback. Robinson has performed well this season, grading out as a top-five cornerback, according to Pro Football Focus. He is allowing a 53% catch rate, while being targeted on 18% of his routes covered. The Eagles front seven will play a big role in this matchup, as well. They have one of the best pass rushes in the NFL, while the Seahawks line has struggled for the majority of the season. Wilson could struggle with time this week, and while he has the majority of the season, it could cost Baldwin a bit of efficiency in this game.