Blake Bortles/Leonard Fournette/Dede Westbrook
The Jacksonville Jaguars are a team that is known for their defense. They still feature an above average offense, though, averaging 360.8 total yards and 25.3 points per game. Both of these averages rank in the top-11 of the NFL. They get an elite matchup against the Houston Texans, who are allowing 346.3 total yards and 25.8 points per game this season. They have allowed at least 23 points in all but five games this season, including four games allowing at least 30 points. The Jaguars are -10.5 point favorites in a game set at 39.5 points, giving them an implied team total of 25 points this week.
Blake Bortles has been able to shine a bit more this season with the Jaguars relying more heavily on their running attack and defense. Through seven home starts, Bortles is averaging 259.6 passing yards and 1.7 passing touchdowns per game. He is also averaging 20.7 rushing yards, as well. Bortles has thrown at least one touchdown in every home start this season, including two touchdowns in each of his last two games. Dede Westbrook is the best pairing option for a number of reasons. He has been heavily involved in the offense since returning from injury, averaging a 5.0/58.8/0.3 line on 8.3 targets per game. The Texans have also been known to struggle against speedy receivers, including T.Y. Hilton and Paul Richardson, among many others. Westbrook blazed a 4.34 40-yard dash at his Pro Day, and he should be in for a big day this weekend. The final part of the stack is the focal point of the offense, Leonard Fournette. He is averaging 103.3 total yards and 0.8 touchdowns on 23.6 touches per game. He is a running back that can handle a big workload, recording at least 24 rush attempts in five games this season. Jacksonville will likely be using him to run out the clock for the majority of the second half, making Fournette a must start part of this stack.
Ben Roethlisberger/Antonio Brown/JuJu Smith-Schuster
The Pittsburgh Steelers have had one of the best passing offenses in the NFL, averaging 281.5 passing yards per game this season. They have been able to score, as well, averaging 24.6 points per game. They get an elite matchup against the New England Patriots, who rank in the bottom-five of the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (254). They have also allowed 22 passing touchdowns this season. The Steelers are small underdogs in this game, but they still feature an implied team total of 25 points, which is one of the highest on the slate.
Ben Roethlisberger has been a dominant quarterback at home this season. Through six home starts, he is averaging 322.5 passing yards and 2.3 passing touchdowns per game. He has thrown at least two touchdowns in each of his last five games, while attempting 66 passes in a shootout against the Baltimore Ravens last week. Antonio Brown has been the biggest beneficiary of this recent quarterback hot streak. Over his last four games, Brown has totaled 39 receptions for 627 yards and six touchdowns on 59 targets. He is averaging a 8.3/135.0/1.0 line at home, as well. JuJu Smith-Schuster is the other top receiver for the Steelers. He does not come with the production of Brown, but he is averaging a 5.0/88.5/0.5 over his last four games. He was suspended last week, but should immediately be a featured part of the offense once again.
Tom Brady/Brandin Cooks/Rob Gronkowski
The New England Patriots are a team that can seemingly score on anyone. They lead the NFL in passing yards (287.2) per game, while ranking fourth in points (28.3) per game. They get a tough matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are allowing only 201 passing yards per game this season. They have also allowed only 16 passing touchdowns, while recording 13 interceptions. It is far from an elite matchup for New England, but they are -3 point favorites in a game set at 53 points. They have the second highest implied team total on the slate at 28 points.
Tom Brady has been an elite quarterback this season. Through 13 starts, he is averaging 297.3 passing yards and 2.1 passing touchdowns per game. He is coming off two rough games, but Brady is the type of player that thrives in tough, important matchups. Brandin Cooks has enjoyed a solid season, totaling 54 receptions for 924 yards and five touchdowns on 91 targets. He has big play potential, and has seen at least seven targets in five of his last six games. He will also benefit from the return of Rob Gronkowski, who is the third part of this stack. Gronkowski was suspended last week, but he is still averaging a 5.0/77.2/0.6 on 7.7 targets in 11 starts. He is a major part of the offense, specifically in the red zone. Gronk has been Brady’s safety blanket over the years, and he adds tremendous upside to this stack.
High Upside GPP Stack
Case Keenum/Adam Thielen/Kyle Rudolph
The Minnesota Vikings have been a bit of a boom or bust offense this season. Even so, they are averaging 248.2 passing yards and 23.8 points per game this season. They get a tough matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals, who are allowing only 213 passing yards per game this season. They have also allowed only 15 passing touchdowns this season. With that being said, the Vikings passing attack is the focal point of their offense, and they have one of the highest implied team totals on the slate at 26.5 points.
Case Keenum has played surprisingly well since taking over for the Vikings this season. He has scored 22 or more DK points in three of his last five games, averaging 274.6 passing yards and 2.2 passing touchdowns over that span. He can also add rushing yards to his totals, as well. Adam Thielen and Kyle Rudolph have been two of the major focal points of the Vikings offense this season. The duo has combined for 44.0% of the team’s receptions, 49.5% of receiving yards, and 52.4% of receiving touchdowns on 45.0% of targets. Most importantly, Thielen and Rudolph have combined for 32 red zone targets, which totals 58.2% of the team’s red zone targets. Overall, this is a fairly safe stack that also comes with tremendous upside. The only potential risk in this stack is a blowout.