Ben Roethlisberger/Le’Veon Bell/JuJu Smith-Schuster
The Pittsburgh Steelers have featured a high upside offense the entire season. They are currently averaging 383.5 total yards and 24.6 points per game. They have been heating up recently, scoring 40, 31, and 39 points in three of their last five games. They get an elite matchup against the Houston Texans, who are allowing 354.7 total yards and 27.1 points per game this season. Their points per game ranks last in the NFL this season. The Steelers are -8.5 point favorites in a game set at 44 points, giving them an implied team total of 26.3 points.
Ben Roethlisberger is a player that has proven he can handle large workloads on a weekly basis. Over the last five weeks, he has attempted at least 40 passes in four of those games. He is also averaging 345.4 yards and 2.8 touchdowns per game over that span. Le’Veon Bell is Pittsburgh’s running back, but he is the top stacking option this week with Roethlisberger. Antonio Brown has been ruled out for this game, meaning Bell could play an even larger role in the offense. On the season, Bell is averaging 87.3 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns on 21.9 carries per game. He is also averaging a 5.7/44.8/0.1 receiving line on 7.0 targets per game. He has also seen at least six targets in each of his last six games. With Brown out, the Steelers receivers are a bit muddier. JuJu Smith-Schuster is the highest upside option, though. He has only been starting for part of the season, but he is averaging 3.6 receptions for 58.3 yards and 0.4 touchdowns on 5.2 targets per game. Smith-Schuster also ranks third on the team in red zone targets, behind only Brown and Bell. Houston has struggled against big play threats this season, and Smith-Schuster is averaging over 16.0 yards per reception this season. He adds plenty of upside to one of the safest stacks on the slate.
Blake Bortles/Dede Westbrook/Keelan Cole
The Jacksonville Jaguars have not been known as a threatening passing attack for the majority of the season, but they have been playing at an elite level in December. Through three December games, they are averaging 35 points per game. This week, they get a great matchup against the San Francisco 49ers, who are allowing 231 passing yards per game this season. San Francisco has also allowed 25 passing touchdowns and a 97.5 QB rating to opposing quarterbacks. San Francisco also ranks 24th in the NFL against quarterbacks and 20th against wide receivers. The Jaguars are -4 point favorites in a game set at 42 points. They have an implied team total of only 23 points, but their totals always seem to be low because of their elite defense.
Blake Bortles has been the best quarterback in the NFL in December. He has played three games in December, averaging 301 yards and 2.3 touchdowns, while recording zero turnovers, as well. Marqise Lee was injured last week, and it has been reported that he is closer to doubtful than probable. That opens the door for Dede Westbrook and Keelan Cole to see more work this week. Westbrook surprisingly saw two targets in a great matchup last week, but he is still averaging a 4.4/51.2/0.2 line on 7.0 targets per game this season. He has flashed tremendous upside while becoming one of the top prospects in Jacksonville. Keelan Cole is another prospect that has outperformed expectations this season after being an undrafted free agent. Cole has been the main beneficiary of Bortles’ recent hot streak. Cole has scored a touchdown in each of his last three games, averaging a 4.3/111.3/1.0 line on 5.0 targets per game. He will see increased targets again this week if Lee is out, making him a must start if Lee is indeed out.
Cam Newton/Devin Funchess/Greg Olsen
The Carolina Panthers have not featured an elite passing offense this season, but they are in a great spot this week. Entering this game, they are averaging only 198 passing yards per game, but they have thrown 21 touchdowns this season. This week, they get an elite matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who rank last in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (271). They have also allowed 21 passing touchdowns. The Panthers are -10 point favorites in a game set at 46.5 points. They have the third highest implied team total on the slate at 28.3 points.
Cam Newton has found success this season, averaging 211.6 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns per game this season. He has been a boom or bust option, throwing for three or more touchdowns in four games this season, but also throwing for one or less touchdown in eight games. With that being said, Newton is also averaging 45.9 rushing yards and 0.4 rushing touchdowns per game this season. Devin Funchess has played a larger than expected role in the Panthers offense, leading the team in targets, red zone targets, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns, while also ranking second on the team in receptions. He has also seen at least six targets in 12 of his last 13 games. Greg Olsen recently returned from injury, and he finally looks fully healthy. Last week, Olsen recorded a 9/116/1 line on 12 targets. His opportunities have been limited this season because of his injuries, but he is a player that comes with tremendous upside when Carolina is utilizing him in featured role.
High Upside GPP Stack
Drew Brees/Mark Ingram/Alvin Kamara
The New Orleans Saints have featured one of the strangest and best offenses in the NFL this season. They are averaging a league-high 401.5 total yards and 28.6 points per game this season. They get a tough matchup against the Atlanta Falcons, who are allowing only 323.6 total yards and 20.1 points per game this season. With that being said, the Saints have proven that they have the ability to score on anyone. They are -5.5 point favorites in a game set at 52.5 points, giving them an implied team total of 29 points, which is the second highest total on the slate.
It always seems odd to stack a quarterback with two running backs, but the Saints are not a normal offense. Brees has not necessarily been a dominant option at quarterback this season, but he is averaging 291.3 yards and 1.6 touchdowns per game through seven home starts. Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram are both running backs, but are also prominent parts of the Saints passing attack. The duo ranks second and third on the team in targets and red zone targets. They have also combined for a ridiculous 48% of the Saints total yards and 54.8% of their total touchdowns. Overall, they are combining to average, 121.2 rushing yards and 1.3 rushing touchdowns to go along with an 8.5/75.7/0.4 receiving line on 10.6 targets per game. This stack is a way to get the majority of the Saints offense, although it is not going to come cheap.