0 [WEEK 4] Fanduel & Draftkings Value Players | DFS Karma

[WEEK 4] Fanduel & Draftkings Value Players

WR Snap Count and Snap Percent

 

 

FanDuel Value Plays

Quarterback ($7500 or less)

Dak Prescott ($7200) @ SF: I feel like San Francisco is a team that we will be targeting players against all season. In my opinion, Dak is like a poor man’s Cam Newton (30.8 fantasy points vs. 49ers) or Russell Wilson (14.00 but he was hurt). Dak has actually looked pretty good in his first three starts with Dallas. Last week he finally got his first passing touchdown and now he gets a pace up matchup against a team that is giving up 2 passing touchdowns per game. I myself do not think I will be paying down at QB this week, but if I were, Prescott would probably be my guy.

 

Running Back ($7000 or less)

Mark Ingram ($6800) @ SD: San Diego is 24th in the league against the run this season, but they have also given up 215 yards in the air to opposing running backs. That’s the fourth most receiving yards to backs in the league. Ingram is not your traditional ground and pound running back. I can definitely see this game shooting out and leading to a big fantasy day for Mark Ingram. 

Jordan Howard ($5600) vs. DET: I think this play will be fairly popular. We need to be on the watch for the health of Ka’Deem Carey though. If Carey is healthy, that could be a big downgrade to Howard. Anyways, with the injury to Langford, somebody has to fill in. As of right now (Tuesday) Howard is that guy. He’s averaging 5.6 yards per carry on the season, but he has yet to score a touchdown. Detroit is 27th in the league against the run and if Howard can get 15-20 carries, I would be very content at that price tag.

 

Wide Receiver ($7000 or less)

Travis Benjamin ($6600) vs. NO: Benjamin has stood out to be the go-to guy for Phillip Rivers since the Allen injury. In week 4, the Chargers get a Saints team that is 26th against the pass this year. This matchup should lead to a good day for the Chargers. They are a team that loves to throw and Benjamin should see at least 8 targets this week.

Kevin White ($5500) vs. DET: Kevin White stood out to be one of the favorite targets of Hoyer last week. Hoyer threw the ball 49 times and 14 of these targets went to White. With Alshon having a tough matchup with Darius Slay, White should rack up the targets yet again. Detroit has the worst ranked pass defense and I think White can have a potential breakout game this week.  

 

 

Tight End ($5200 or less)

Zach Miller ($5000) vs. DET: Detroit is also very vulnerable against the tight end. It seems to me that most of these Bears players are underpriced on both sites. The Lions are 27th in the league against the tight end and Miller seemed to fit right in with new Bears quarterback Brian Hoyer. Last week, Miller caught 8 of 9 targets for 78 yards and two touchdowns. Even without the touchdowns, this is still a good game for Miller at his price level on both sites. I expect another 6-10 targets in an easy matchup vs. Detroit this week.

 

 

 

DraftKings Value Plays

 

Quarterback ($6000 or less)

Brian Hoyer ($5000) vs. DET: Coming off a game with 49 pass attempts against the slow paced Cowboys, Hoyer gets to matchup against a Lions team that is ranked  last in the league against the pass. Hoyer and most of his teammates are all too cheap against a bad pass defense.  Hoyer is minimum salary on DraftKings this week and if he throws for 40+ times again, he could be a steal. Hot take: I personally believe that Hoyer is better than Jay Cutler and the Bears should stick with him.

 

Running Back ($5000 or less)

LeGarrette Blount ($5000) vs. BUF: Through week 3, Blount leads the NFL in rushing yards. As of Tuesday afternoon, it is starting to look like Garoppolo will be the Patriots QB on Sunday. His shoulder may not be 100%, which could lead to more Blunt carries. The Bills have the 21st ranked defense against the run this season.  Also you can almost always expect the Patriots to be winning at home and they will more than likely lean on Blount to carry them to Tom Brady Land after week 4.

Carlos Hyde ($4200) vs. DAL: Hyde ran all over Seattle (2nd in the league against the run) last week. This week’s matchup is against a Cowboys team that ranks 12th in the NFL against the run but is allowing 4.92 yards per carry to opposing running backs. If we can project 20 carries and even a couple catches for Hyde this week, he should have a field day crushing his $4200 price tag.

 

Wide Receiver ($5000 or less)

Tyrell Williams ($4400) vs. NO: Playing against the Saints is always something we like to see from a matchup standpoint. Saints are 27th in the NFL against the pass this year, which is sadly a slight improvement from last year. I feel like Melvin Gordon will be the chalk in this game so a pivot off him or even stackable option with him would be Tyrell Williams. Since Keenan Allen went down, he has put up scores of 15.1 and 12.9. I don’t see any reason for him to fail to reach at least 12 points this week. 

Terrelle Pryor ($4300) @ WAS: I feel like this pick will be extremely chalky, but for good reason. Pryor had 144 receiving yards, 35 passing yards, and 21 rushing yards in the overtime loss at Miami. He was the first player to have at least 120 receiving yards, at least 30 passing yards, and at least 20 rushing yards in a single game since 1959!! Take away the passing and rushing yards and this is still a very good game. Washington is not a great defense and Pryor will be asked to do as much as he can handle until Josh Gordon comes back next week.

 

Tight End ($4500 or less)

Zach Miller ($2700) vs. DET: Same as Fanduel’s reasoning. Detroit is also very vulnerable against the tight end. It seems to me that most of these Bears players are underpriced on both sites. The Lions are 27th in the league against the tight end and Miller seemed to fit right in with new Bears quarterback Brian Hoyer. Last week, Miller caught 8 of 9 targets for 78 yards and two touchdowns. Even without the touchdowns, this is still a good game for Miller at his price level on both sites. I expect another 6-10 targets in an easy matchup vs. Detroit this week.

Coby Fleener ($3200) @ SD: Maybe Fleener isn’t so bad at football after all. With Willie Snead out last week, Fleener put up a great game on MNF. He caught 7 of 11 targets for 109 yards and a touchdown. I think his production takes a hit with the return of Snead next week, but he still could get 6-8 targets. The Chargers rank 24th in the league against tight ends. Don’t forget, it’s a Drew Brees revenge game!

 

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Author: Rob Mazeika (Twitter)

Rob is a Senior in college that has been playing DFS for two years. His main sports are NFL, MLB, and NBA on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He was a finalist for the 2016 WFBC Single Entry Series in Nashville in 2016 (came in 4th). And he is also a diehard Nets, Yankees, and Patriots fan. 

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1 comment

Morgan

October 01, 2016

I do feel like that sd game is gonna be heavily owned as well..the howard play scares me.. the game I like is the car game with a greg olsen cam stack.. I also like hunter henry alot this week.. good write up!

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