Dak Prescott/Ezekiel Elliott/Dez Bryant
The Dallas Cowboys have yet to hit their stride as an offense. They are currently an average offense, averaging 311 yards and 21.3 points per game thus far. They get an elite matchup against a struggling Los Angeles Rams defense, though. The Rams are allowing 343.7 yards and 25.0 points per game this season. They have specifically been struggling to stop the run, allowing an average of 139 rushing yards per game. They have also allowed a league-high six rushing touchdowns this season. The Cowboys are sizable -6 point favorites in a game set at 47 runs. This gives them the third highest team total of the slate, as well.
Prescott, Elliott, and Bryant are the “Big Three” in Dallas this season. They have combined for 38.7% of the team’s yards and 57.1% of the team’s touchdowns. Bryant also has more red zone targets than the rest of the Cowboys offense combined. The Rams, who are allowing 4.3 yards per carry and 8.1 yards per attempt, will struggle to stop any part of the Cowboys offense. Furthermore, dating back to the beginning of the 2016 season, the trio has combined for a total of 34 individual touchdowns. Los Angeles has shown enough offensive promise for Dallas to want to keep their foot on the gas from the start to the end of the game, as well.
Eli Manning/Odell Beckham Jr./Sterling Shepard
The New York Giants have struggled quite a bit this season, but they looked good in their only game with a healthy offense. In that game, Manning threw for over 350 yards and three touchdowns. Beckham and Shepard were able to combine to post a 16/212/3 line on 23 targets. The duo is a focal point of the offense, as they have combined for 34.2% of the team’s targets, but Beckham has only played in one full game. Beckham and Shepard have also combined for 69.2% of the team’s red zone targets. The Giants are small underdogs in a game set at 44 points, suggesting they will be throwing for the majority of the game. New York has made it clear they will not limit Manning’s attempts, which only adds to his upside this week.
New York will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who allowed 34 points to the Minnesota Vikings with Case Keenum at quarterback last week. Through two games, Tampa Bay is allowing 330 passing yards and 8.6 yards per attempt this season. They have two cornerbacks, Ryan Smith and Robert McClain, who have graded out as bottom-3 corners per Pro Football Focus. These are the two players that will be guarding Beckham and Shepard for the majority of the game. The Giants are coming into this game with a bit more confidence in their offense, and they are an elite stacking option on the slate this week.
Tom Brady/Brandin Cooks/Rob Gronkowski
The New England Patriots have been playing at an elite level this season, as they are averaging 33 points per game, ranking second in the NFL. They get a matchup against the Carolina Panthers, who defensive statistics are a bit skewed by their competition. In one matchup against a tough offense, the New Orleans Saints, the Panthers allowed 34 points. The Patriots have the highest team total on the slate at 28.5 points. They are -9 point favorites in a game set at 48 points, which is one of the highest on the slate. Surprisingly, New England has yet to pull away from a team to the point where they are not throwing in the second half.
New England has a spread out offense, which makes picking a stack a bit difficult. Rob Gronkowski is leading the team in receiving, though, and it is clear that New England feels comfortable giving him as many targets as needed while he is healthy. Cooks gets one of the better matchups for the Patriots this week, as he will play the majority of his snaps across from Daryl Worley, who has struggled at times this season. Gronkowski and Cook have combined for 45.2% of the team’s receiving yards and 50% of the team’s receiving touchdowns. They are the two highest upside players on an offense that should have no shortage of points this week, making them an elite stack on this slate.
High Upside GPP Stack
Jared Goff/Todd Gurley/Sammy Watkins
It is truly amazing how a coaching change can affect an offense. The Rams could not move the ball consistently last season, but they are averaging a league-high 35.7 points per game this season. They have had a few easy matchups this season, but they also get a good matchup this week. The Dallas Cowboys are currently a slightly above average defense in terms of yards allowed and points per game this season. With that being said, they had the pleasure of playing the New York Giants without Odell Beckham Jr. In the two games after that, the Cowboys have allowed a total of 783 yards and seven touchdowns to the Denver Broncos and Arizona Cardinals.
The Cowboys have been better against the run than the pass this season, but it is impossible to avoid Gurley in a Los Angeles stack. He currently is responsible for 33.3% of the Ram’s total yards and 60% of the team’s touchdowns. It was a bit more difficult to pick the second part of this stack. Watkins is the highest upside player, though, as he has far and away more talent than any other receiver on the team. Goff also seemed to get more comfortable with Watkins last week, as he posted a 6/106/2 line on seven targets in roughly three quarters before being injured. Watkins is currently in the concussion protocol, but he had more than a week to recover by Sunday, and he is expected to play this weekend. The Rams have tremendous upside this week, and they are not a stack that is going to break the bank.
By: Justin Bales (Twitter)