0 [WEEK 5] FanDuel & DraftKings Value Players | DFS Karma

[WEEK 5] FanDuel & DraftKings Value Players

NFL 2015 Passing Defense

 

FanDuel Value Plays

 

Quarterback ($7500 or less)

Brian Hoyer ($6000) @ IND: This pick hinges on who starts for the Bears this week. I still think Hoyer is better than Cutler but who knows what is going on in the mind of John Fox. It is pretty safe to say that the Colts pass defense is bad. They are 29th in the league against the pass. We all saw Hoyer light up the Lions last week and the Colts are not much better at all. Hoyer loves to gun it around and I think he can get over 300 yards again this week. This game is a potential shootout waiting to happen. Hoyer’s $6000 price on FanDuel is way too good of a deal to pass up if he starts.



Running Back ($7000 or less)

Frank Gore ($6500) vs. CHI: The Colts are favorites in this game by 4.5 points. Frank Gore is never a very sexy pick, but he consistently hits his value. This week he gets a matchup with the Chicago Bears defense that is 26th in the NFL against the run. Like I said earlier, the Colts are favorites so I expect them to run out the clock with Gore. He won’t smash value this week, but he will consistently give you a solid game at his price.

Duke Johnson ($5300) vs. NE: $5300 for Duke Johnson may be the steal of the week. I have watched enough Patriots games in my life to know how this team works. They will blow away Cleveland in the first half and then in the second half, they will allow them to do whatever they want on offense. The Patriots are perfectly content with allowing big time garbage time fantasy production and I think Johnson benefits ton from this.

 

Wide Receiver ($7000 or less)

Julian Edelman ($7000) @ CLE: Comparing his price across both sites, Edelman is a huge value on FanDuel. He gets his best friend Tom back this week after the suspension and I think the Pats send a message to Roger Goodell and the NFL. The Browns do not have a terrible pass defense (18th), but they are 27th against the WR1’s. This could turn into one of those games were Julian gets 8 catches for 90 yards and 1 or 2 touchdowns. 

Eddie Royal ($5700) @ IND: Watch out for the injury report throughout the week because he missed practice on Wednesday. If he is good to go, you could expect another big game coming his way. Kevin White was placed on I.R. and Eddie Royal will get an extreme upgrade in usage for the remainder of the season. Last week with Brian Hoyer, he caught all 7 of his targets for 111 yards and a touchdown. He gets a very easy matchup with the Colts (29th) this week and should be in for another great game at his price.

 

Tight End ($5500 or less)

Hunter Henry ($5400) @ OAK: As long as Antonio Gates is out, Henry will be a solid option. Oakland is 23rd in the league against the Tight End. Hunter Henry has looked good his last two weeks and I expected that to continue into week 5. You can expect around 6-8 targets for him with a red zone target or two. FanDuel did a really good job at pricing the tight ends this week, but I like Henry as one of the best value plays if Gates is out again.



DraftKings Value Plays



Quarterback ($6000 or less)

Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5100) @ PIT: Playing in Pittsburgh could be a daunting task. Look at what happened to the Chiefs on Sunday night. However, the 2016 Steelers are the 24th team in the league against the pass. I know Fitz has looked absolutely terrible over the last few weeks, but I think he gets back into form in Week 5. The Jets are a team who loves to throw (10th in the league at 38.5 attempts per game), and they should be throwing to come back from behind in this one.

 

Running Back ($5000 or less)

Devonta Freeman ($5000) @ DEN: I for one am never really a fan on picking anybody against the Broncos defense, but hear me out.  Surprisingly, Denver ranks 29th in the league against the run and 28th in the league against pass catching running backs. I fully expect Atlanta to be losing this game, leading to many dump off passes to Freeman. Tevin Coleman might be out this week, leaving all of the work to Freeman. If Coleman is out, Freeman can become a very good sneaky value option in week 5. 

Theo Riddick ($4900) vs. PHI: With the injury to Dwayne Washington, Riddick is now the guy in Detroit. He is already an established PPR running back, not he will get the carries to just add more value. The Eagles have looked extremely good this season, so this play is really a volume play only. Historically, Theo Riddick has been a much better player at home. Although the matchup is tough, I think he could still be a good value play in an interesting week 5.



Wide Receiver ($5000 or less)

Robert Woods ($3900) @ LA: With the Injury to Sammy Watkins, Woods has become the favorite target of Tyrod. Woods had a very solid game last week against the Patriots. He got 10 targets his way and he caught 7 of them for 89 yards. That equates to 15.9 DK points. This week, he has to go across the country to face a Rams team that just beat the Cardinals. The Rams are a pretty good team against the pass (13th in the league), but at $3900, you are not asking for too much. As long as Tyrod keeps looking his way, Woods will be in line for a solid game.

Quincy Enunwa ($4600) @ PIT: I have already touched on the Steelers defense above (Read Ryan Fitzpatrick). Enunwa can be a good contrarian stack with Fitz this week against PIT. I expect Decker to be out again this week with his nagging shoulder injury. This didn’t seem to cause a change in his workload though. He still is averaging 8 targets and 13.55 DK points per game. I really think this game becomes a shootout, leading to 7-10 targets for Enunwa and another good fantasy day.  

 

Tight End ($4000 or less)

Zach Ertz ($3500) @ DET: I am typically not a fan of targeting players coming off of an injury, but luckily the Eagle and Zach Ertz are coming off of a bye week. I will keep this plain and simple, Carson Wentz is good and the Lions are bad (27th) against tight ends. Wentz has thrown 26% of his passes to tight ends this season. Also 25% of his red zone targets have gone to tight ends. I am very excited to see Ertz back and I expect him to have a very good game against a bad Lions team.

 

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Author: Rob Mazeika (Twitter)

Rob is a Senior in college that has been playing DFS for two years. His main sports are NFL, MLB, and NBA on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He was a finalist for the 2016 WFBC Single Entry Series in Nashville in 2016 (came in 4th). And he is also a diehard Nets, Yankees, and Patriots fan. 

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1 comment

Jake

October 08, 2016

Hey guys, new subscriber! I’ve been following you guys for a little while now and recently decided to try the money team! I was wondering when picks come, got the value plays for the week but wanted to know when the others were coming!
Thanks Jake

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