Aaron Rodgers/Jordy Nelson/Randall Cobb
The Cowboys have had an average pass defense this season, allowing 232 passing yards per game. They have also allowed eight passing touchdowns this season, which ranks fourth worst in the NFL. Furthermore, Dallas currently ranks 27th against quarterbacks and 21st against wide receivers. Surprisingly, Green Bay is a small underdog, but the game total is set at 52.5 points. That gives Green Bay an implied total of 27.3 points, which ranks fourth on the slate this week.
Green Bay is entering this game with multiple injuries. Davante Adams is currently in the concussion protocol, and it looks like he is going to sit out this week. Furthermore, Ty Montgomery has suffered with broken ribs, while Jamaal Williams is dealing with a knee injury. Montgomery is likely out, while Williams has a shot at playing this week. Regardless, Green Bay will be forced to rely heavily on their passing attack rather than their run game. With Adams likely out, Nelson and Cobb become the clear targets. They have only played in two games together this season, but they have proven that they can coexist in terms of fantasy. In those two games, they are averaging a 14/141.5/2 combined line. They are an elite pairing for one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.
Dak Prescott/Dez Bryant/Jason Witten
Green Bay has seemingly played well against the pass, allowing only 189 passing yards per game this season. They have allowed only four passing touchdowns, as well. This has more to do with their schedule than their defense, though. They played the Seahawks and Bears, who have both struggled throwing the ball this season. They also played the Falcons, who were winning early on and only threw the ball 28 times. Last, they played the Bengals, who were able to throw for 212 yards and two touchdowns on only 27 attempts. Dallas is favored in this game, but it is by a small margin and the total is set at 52.5 points. It would be shocking if this game is not a shootout from the start to the finish.
Bryant and Witten have been the focal points of the Cowboys passing attack this season, combining for 48.6% of the team’s targets. They have also combined for 40.2% of the team’s catches, 40.4% of the team’s receiving yards, and 50% of the team’s receiving touchdowns. Furthermore, they have combined for 70.6% of the team’s red zone targets, while Prescott has 33% of Dallas’ red zone rushing touchdowns. Most Dallas stacks will likely feature Ezekiel Elliott, but Bryant and Witten also come with elite touchdown potential, making them a high upside, lower owned stacking option.
Jacoby Brissett/Frank Gore/T.Y. Hilton
The Indianapolis Colts are an interesting stack this week. Andrew Luck has been ruled out, which means we will see Brissett draw the start again this Sunday. Indianapolis is a team that generally goes overlooked, specifically in terms of stacking. They get a great matchup against a below average San Francisco 49ers defense, who is allowing 346.3 yards and 23.5 points per game this season. They currently rank 24th against quarterbacks and wide receivers, while also ranking 31st against running backs. San Francisco is also 11th in the NFL in tempo, while the Indianapolis ranks 26th, allowing the Colts to see a few extra plays this week. The Colts have a respectable implied total of 22.8 points, as well.
Indianapolis has three main parts to their offense, but Jack Doyle is currently in the concussion protocol and he may not play this week. That leaves Gore and Hilton to pair with Brissett. Hilton moves all over the formation, but he will play the majority of his snaps against Rashard Robinson, who has graded out as a bottom-6 cornerback in the NFL, per Pro Football Focus. In terms of running, Gore and Brissett have combined for 76.2% of the Colts rushing yards and 66.7% of the Colts rushing touchdowns. Gore also plays a small part in the passing game, but Hilton is the focal point of the passing attack. He could also see a few extra targets this week if Doyle is forced to miss the game.
High Upside GPP Stack
Josh McCown/Bilal Powell/Austin Seferian-Jenkins
How can anyone stack the Jets, right? It is not that insane this week. New York gets a matchup against the Browns, who are only allowing 328.0 yards per game this season, but they are also allowing 26.8 points per game, which ranks fourth worst in the NFL. They have struggled against most offenses, ranking 22nd against quarterbacks, 23rd against running backs, and 30th against tight ends. Cleveland is has allowed a ridiculous 22/216/4 line to tight ends including Tyler Kroft and Benjamin Watson. New York only has an implied total of 19.5 points, but they never seem feature a high projected total.
Seferian-Jenkins has only played in two games this season, but he has posted a 9/77 line on 10 targets in those games. As noted above, the Browns have struggled against low-level tight ends for the majority of the season. ASJ is a way to keep this stack cheap, as well. Powell was featured in a major role last week, totaling 190 yards and one touchdown in that game. Matt Forte is currently looking closer to doubtful for this game, and Powell should be featured in a similar role. He is also leading New York in red zone targets this season, making him a great running back stack with the quarterback. The Jets should not be stacked in cash games, but they make an interesting option in tournaments.
By: Justin Bales (Twitter)