Andy Dalton/Joe Mixon/A.J. Green
The Cincinnati Bengals have featured one of the worst offenses in the NFL this season. They are averaging only 289.0 total yards and 16.3 points per game. They are in play this week because of their matchup, though. They’ll face off against the Indianapolis Colts, who are currently allowing a league-high 425.4 total yards and 31.7 points per game. They have allowed at least 23 points in six of seven games this season, including allowing 46 points in two games. The Bengals are -10.5 point favorites in a game set at 40.5 points, giving them an implied team total of 25.5 points.
Andy Dalton has struggled this season, but he is averaging 241.5 yards and 2.3 touchdowns per game over the last four weeks after averaging just 197.0 yards with no touchdowns in his first two games. Cincinnati has utilized a three running back system, but Joe Mixon is the clear leader of the group. He has accounted for 55.4% of the running back touches. He has also seen at least 15 carries in three of his last four games. A.J. Green is the obvious third part of the stack. He’s an elite receiver in the NFL, and he has received 32.0% of the team’s total targets this season. Cincinnati certainly isn’t the sexy pick this week, but they should have very little trouble scoring points against a weak Indianapolis defense.
Cam Newton/Devin Funchess/Kelvin Benjamin
The Carolina Panthers offense has been night and day this season. Through seven games, they have at least 23 points in four games, but they have failed to score more than 13 points in any of their other games. They get an elite matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this week. Tampa Bay is currently allowing 295.0 passing yards per game this season. They have also allowed 11 passing touchdowns and a 102.9 quarterback rating. The Panthers are small underdogs in a game set at 46 points. They have a respectable implied team total of 22 points this week.
Carolina has done most of their damage as an offense in the air this season. They only have three rushing touchdown, and Cam Newton has accounted for all of them. Christian McCaffrey is leading the team in targets, but Tampa Bay has struggled against wide receivers this season. Devin Funchess and Kelvin Benjamin have combined for 40.7% of the team’s targets. They have also combined for a weekly 8.6/111.7/0.6 line. Funchess has seen at least eight targets in his last five weeks, while Benjamin has seen six or more targets in his last three games. They have also combined for 10 red zone targets this season. Funchess and Benjamin make up a high upside duo, and they can be stacked with Newton in an elite matchup on a smaller slate this weekend.
Kirk Cousins/Josh Doctson/Jordan Reed
The Washington Redskins have had plenty of ups and downs this season. Overall, they have been an above average offense, averaging 369.2 total yards and 23.5 points per game. They get an interesting matchup against the Dallas Cowboys this week. Dallas is only allowing 216.0 passing yards per game this season, but they have also allowed 11 touchdowns as opposed to only two interceptions. The Redskins are small underdogs, but the game is set at 50.5 total points. Washington has an implied team total of 24.3 points, and there should be no shortage of scoring in this game.
Kirk Cousins has been heating up recently, averaging 304.5 passing yards and 2.5 passing touchdowns per game over his last four starts. He also adds a few rushing stats each week, as well. Jordan Reed is the first stacking option to pair with Cousins. Reed is averaging 6.8 targets per game, and he’s coming off an 8/64/2 line. He is a huge part of the offense, and finally looks healthy for Washington. It would be far from shocking to see him lead the Redskins in targets again this week. The last part of the stack was a bit more difficult. They have a few receivers that could be stacked, but I opted to go with Josh Doctson. He has displayed tremendous talent when healthy, but he struggles to stay healthy. His role in the offense is growing, and he saw five targets last week. He is also a major factor in the red zone, as 28.6% of his targets have come inside the 20-yard line. He’s still extremely cheap, as well. This stack will likely be low owned with plenty of upside.
High Upside GPP Stack
Carson Wentz/LeGarrette Blount/Zach Ertz
This is one of the top matchups on the slate. The Philadelphia Eagles offense has looked outstanding this season, averaging over 380.0 total yards and 28.4 points per game. They get a matchup against the San Francisco 49ers, who have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. San Fran is allowing 393.1 total yards and 26.6 points per game. Outside of games against the Seahawks and Cardinals, the 49ers are allowing 31.2 points per game. The Eagles are massive -13 favorites in a game set at 46 points. They have the highest implied team total on the slate with 29.5 points.
Carson Wentz has been playing at an elite level over his last three games. Over that span, he is averaging 254.7 passing yards and 3.7 passing touchdowns per game. He has also recorded at least six carries in each of those games. Zach Ertz is an easy stacking option with Wentz. He’s leading the team in targets, and averaging an impressive 5.6/70.6/0.7 line this season. Ertz is also leading the team with nine red zone targets this season. LeGarrette Blount is the final part of this stack. He is not a player I love attacking, but this is the type of game he can thrive in. The Eagles are huge favorites, and they should be running the clock out in the second half. He has seen at least 14 carries in each of his last four games. The Eagles are also expected to score quite a bit, and Blount has recorded 54.8% of the red zone carries for Philadelphia this season. This is a way to get a part of the entire Eagles offense this week.