Bales' MyBookie Bets
Wei-Yin Chen (+135)
Wei-Yin Chen has been throwing at an elite level in Miami this season. Through 12 home starts, he owns a 5-3 record with a 1.78 ERA. He has also allowed two or fewer earned runs in five of his last six home starts. Chen also gets a matchup against the Cincinnati Reds, who owns a 3-4 record, while averaging only 1.6 runs per game over the last week. The Miami Marlins don’t own an elite offense, but they are averaging 4.0 runs per game over the last week. They also get a matchup against Luis Castillo, who owns a 10-12 record with a 4.52 ERA through 30 starts this season. He has been throwing at a higher level over his last 10 starts, but he still owns a 5.56 ERA on the road in 2018. This is a bit of a risky bet, but getting plus odds on Chen at home in a good matchup is difficult to ignore.
Bet 2 units on Miami ML to win 2.7 units (+135)
Francisco Liriano (-120)
Francisco Liriano has struggled for the majority of this season, which is a major concern. With that being said, he owns a 1-0 record with a 2.28 ERA through four starts against the Kansas City Royals this season. He has allowed only six earned runs over 23.2 innings. Kansas City also features one of the worst offenses in the MLB against left-handed pitching, while struggling mightily on the road. The Detroit Tigers, on the other hand, have been at their best at home. The Tigers get a matchup against Ian Kennedy, who features a 1-4 record with a 5.05 ERA through 10 road starts. Detroit’s runline at home tonight is simply a bit too good to to pass up.
Bet 2 units on the Detroit -1.5 RL to win 3.4 units (+170)
Gerrit Cole (-260)
Houston struggled in their last series, but I’m going back to the well in this game. Gerrit Cole has struggled at times against the Los Angeles Angels this season, but they are only 2-4, while averaging 3.5 runs per game over the last week. Cole has also been one of the best pitchers in the MLB this season, posting a 14-5 record with a 2.88 ERA through 30 starts. Houston also owns a 55.1% win rate at home this season. They feature arguably the best offense in the MLB against left-handed pitching, and they get a matchup against Andrew Heaney tonight. He has been struggling a bit recently, recording a 3-3 record with a 4.52 ERA over his last 10 starts. Heaney has thrown surprisingly well against Houston this season, but they are at full health now after dealing with a plethora of injuries this season.
Bet 4 units on the Houston -1.5 RL to win 3.3 units (-120)
Parlay 2 units on Milwaukee ML, Boston/Cleveland 7u, San Francisco/St. Louis 7.5u, and Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 RL to win 19.9 units (+995)